Document

The COVID-19 Pandemic and Overconfidence Bias : The Case of Cyclical and Defensive Sectors

Author
Linked Agent
Hashmi , N.I, Author
Alam , M.S, Author
Baig , M.A, Author
Title of Periodical
Risks
Country of Publication
Kingdom of Bahrain
Place Published
sakhir, bahrain
Publisher
University of Bahrain
Date Issued
2022
Language
English
English Abstract
Abstract: This research paper analyses the impact of COVID-19 to investigate the overconfidence bias in 12 cyclical and defensive sectors in pre- and during COVID-19 periods using daily data from 1 January 2015 to 31 December 2020. The results of VAR show that in the pre COVID-19 phase overconfidence bias is more prevalent in all the cyclical sectors; in particular, MEDIA, METAL and REALTY have highly significant coefficients . In the defensive sectors, the VAR outcomes are not as strong as we expected, except for SERVICES. During the COVID-19 period, the investor shifted their focus to COVID-19-related opportunities, leading to a surge in the IT and PHARMA sectors. In both phases, METAL, MEDIA and REALTY exhibit overconfidence-driven stock trading behaviour. ENERGY is the only sector in both the phases that does not witness overconfidence bias.
Member of
Identifier
https://digitalrepository.uob.edu.bh/id/54f63adb-8992-40eb-aa60-d652d0bae1e6